March, 2010 – Wine Country Market Analysis
Napa County Trends: The inventory of homes and condominiums for sale at the end of March in Napa County (620) was 9% below the inventory (682) at this time last year. It was 7% higher than the inventory in February, 2010 (578) which continues the reversal of a downward trend that persisted for over a year. It is reasonable to expect a continued increase in inventory as the spring market evolves. New sales (188) were 71% ahead of the pace a year ago (110) and 47% ahead of the month of February (128). The median price of the homes closed in Napa County in March was $345,000, 5% higher than that of both a month ago a year ago. The city of Napa had an increase in new sales in March (119) that was 78% higher than that of a year ago (67) and 32% ahead of that of February (90) and has just a 3.1 month supply of inventory – typically, an indication of a seller’s market. American Canyon has just 1.1 months supply of inventory. Up Valley Napa County has a 11.3 month supply.
St. Helena/Up Valley Trends: The St. Helena/Up Valley market (Angwin, Calistoga, Deer Park, Rutherford, St. Helena and Yountville), had an inventory of 180 units at the end of March, 2010. This compares with 163 at the end of March, 2009. Sales for the month (16) were 129% ahead of the pace of a year ago and 78% ahead of the pace last month. The Up Valley market seems to be finally gaining some momentum.
Sonoma County Trends: The inventory of homes and condominiums for sale (1374) in Sonoma County at the end of March was 12% lower than a year ago, but it was 15% higher than it was at the end of last month (1,191). We expect inventory to continue to climb as the spring market gets going. New sales (632) in March were 14% ahead of the pace in March, 2009 (553) and they were 42% ahead of the pace of last month (444). The median price of homes closed in March in Sonoma County was $325,000. This is 6.5% higher than the medium price of closed homes in March, 2009 ($305,000) and somewhat in line with the median price over the past six months. The average price per square foot of sold homes has stabilized around $230-$240/sq. ft. Based on the current sales pace, there is only a 2.2 month supply of inventory – a definite indication of a “seller’s market”.
Sonoma Valley Trends: The inventory of homes and condominiums for sale (184) in the Sonoma Valley (Sonoma, Glen Ellen and Kenwood) at the end of March was 10% below that for March, 2009 (205), but it climbed for the fourth straight month from a low of 163 units in December. There were 56 new sales for the month which is 19% higher than that of a year ago (47) and 124% ahead of last month (25). The months of inventory based on new sales dropped to 3.3 months. There were 36 closings in the Sonoma Valley in March and our Sonoma Valley offices closed 29 units so our agents obviously handled transactions outside of the Valley.
Healdsburg Trends: The inventory of homes and condominiums for sale (90) in Healdsburg at the end of March was just slightly higher than that of the available inventory (86) in March, ‘09. The inventory was 17% higher than the 77 units that were available at the end of last month. New sales (21) were 250% ahead of that of last month (6) and were 162% ahead of that of a year ago (8). The Healdsburg market seems to be gaining great momentum going into the later spring.
Cloverdale Trends: The inventory of homes and condominiums for sale in Cloverdale (45) at the end of March, 2010 was 32% lower than that of a year ago (66) and remained equal to that of month ago (44). Sales for the month of March (20) were equal to that of March, 2009 (21) and were slightly ahead of the 17 sales last month. There were only six closings in February, but there were 13 in March.
Windsor Trends: The inventory of homes for sale in Windsor (75) at the end of March was equal to that of the inventory (74) in March, 2009 and was 42% ahead of the inventory of last month (53). There were 41 new sales of homes and condominiums in Windsor in March which is 24% less than the 54 sales in March of 2009. The new sales level was up 46% from the 28 last month. The current market has just 1.8 months of supply based on the current sales pace. Prices bumped up to $233 per square foot and a median of $348,000 last month.